Wealthion Blog

Wealthion Macro Bites 5-29

Written by The Wealthion Team | May 29, 2026 1:17:54 PM

Axios reports the U.S. and Iran have reached a preliminary memorandum of understanding (MOU) to extend the bilateral ceasefire for 60 days to allow negotiations for permanently ending the war. The MOU states shipping through the Strait of Hormuz will be “unrestricted” and Iran has 30 days to remove all mines. The ongoing U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports will be lifted “in proportion to the restoration of commercial shipping” through the Strait.

Vice President JD Vance said the U.S. and Iran are “going back and forth on a couple of language points” over issues relating to Tehran’s nuclear capabilities and Iran appears to be negotiating in good faith. However, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reiterated President Trump’s three “red lines” are reopening the Strait, Iran surrendering its highly enriched uranium and Iran ending its nuclear program. Stay tuned…

Panama’s Environment Minister Juan Carlos Navarro promised release of the government’s third-party audit of First Quantum’s shuttered copper mine as soon as Friday. Navarro stated, “The report will be extensive and will require thorough analysis. The report will be public so that everyone can study it.” Commerce and Industries Minister Julio Moltó said President José Raúl Mulino would decide the mine’s future once the government reviews the findings. First Quantum has said the suspension of its Cobre Panama copper mine has cost Panama an estimated $3.5B in lost economic contribution over the past two years.

U.S. and Mexican negotiators began formal talks on Thursday to revamp the USMCA trade deal, with Washington demanding stricter regional rules of origin, including a U.S.-specific minimum level of content for cars and trucks built in Mexico. USMCA currently requires 75% of a vehicle’s value to be sourced from North America, with a separate regional value requirement that 40% of North American-built passenger car content come from higher-wage facilities (effectively U.S. and Canada). The U.S. wants to revise the core parts list (currently engines, transmissions, body parts and chassis components) to include electronics modules now largely produced in Asia.

U.S. April personal income was flat m/m (vs. +0.4% est.) and personal spending increased 0.5%, meaning the household savings rate fell to 2.6% of disposable income (vs. 3.2% in March), driving the net national savings rate to a completely unsustainable -4.03% of GDP. Aggregate U.S. finances are deteriorating rapidly.

Euro Stoxx 50 +0.5% and S&P & Nasdaq futures +0.15%. DXY dollar index little changed, spot gold +0.9% and spot silver little changed.

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